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  • Impact of the Iran-Israel conflict on PTA raw materials Jun 22, 2025
    The escalation of the conflict between Iran and Israel has had a significant impact on the price of PTA (purified terephthalic acid) raw materials, mainly reflected in the cost-push effect brought about by the rise in crude oil prices and the market's concerns about supply chain disruptions. The following is a major analysis of the impact of the conflict on PTA prices:   Rising crude oil prices drive up PTA costs The Middle East geopolitical conflict (especially involving Iran and Israel) has led to a sharp rise in international oil prices. Since Iran is an important oil producer, the market is worried that its oil facilities may be hit or the Strait of Hormuz may be blocked, thereby affecting global crude oil supply. PX (paraxylene), the main raw material of PTA, is highly correlated with crude oil prices. The rise in crude oil directly pushes up PX costs, which in turn is transmitted to PTA prices. From June 12 to 18, PX spot prices rose 8.87% and PTA spot prices rose 7.21%.   PTA is supported by costs in the short term, but fundamentals are weakening Although rising crude oil prices have driven up PTA prices, PTA's own fundamentals are weakening. On the supply side, the operating rate of PTA units rebounded to 83%, while downstream polyester demand declined due to the off-season, with polyester load falling to 90.9% and terminal weaving operating rate falling to 68%. The market expects PTA to shift from destocking to accumulating inventory, but PTA prices will remain supported in the short term due to the crude oil premium caused by geopolitical conflicts.   Market sentiment and future uncertainty If Iran further blocks the Strait of Hormuz, global crude oil supply may be severely restricted, and oil prices may soar to US$120-130 per barrel, which will further push up PTA costs. But if the conflict eases and crude oil prices fall, PTA may be under pressure due to weak supply and demand fundamentals.   Impact of downstream industries The prices of downstream products such as polyester filament have risen with PTA, but the production enthusiasm of terminal weaving companies has been suppressed due to high costs and poor sales, resulting in a "price-free" market.   The conflict between Iran and Israel will support the PTA market in the short term by pushing up crude oil prices, but the supply and demand structure of PTA itself is weakening, and future price trends will depend on geopolitical evolution and fluctuations in the crude oil market. Investors need to pay close attention to the situation in the Middle East and changes in crude oil supply.
  • The Competitiveness of China's Polyester Yarn Industry In the Global Market Nov 22, 2023
    China's polyester yarn industry is one of the world's largest polyester yarn producers and exporters, with a vast market scale and strong competitiveness. The following is an analysis of the scale and development of China's polyester yarn industry:   Market Size: China's polyester yarn industry occupies an important position in the global market. According to data, China's annual polyester yarn production ranks first in the world, accounting for more than two-thirds of the world's total production. Polyester yarn is an important raw material widely used in textile, clothing, home textile and other industries. China's huge population and rapidly developing economy have continued to increase demand for polyester yarn, giving China a huge advantage in the global market.   Technical Level: China's polyester yarn industry has made significant progress in terms of technical level. Since 1980, China's textile export market demand has increased, driving the industry's production capacity to continue to increase. After 2003, polyester technology has been continuously optimized, and large-scale spinning equipment and new materials have been applied. It is presumed that the production efficiency of the polyester industry has gradually improved, and the industry's production capacity has been sufficiently released. At the same time, China's polyester yarn industry has also invested a lot of resources in R&D and innovation to promote technological upgrading and innovative development.   Cost Advantage: China has significant cost competitiveness in the polyester yarn industry. China has a complete industrial chain and cheap labor resources, making the production cost of polyester yarn relatively low. This makes China's polyester yarn products competitive in the international market, especially in price-sensitive markets.   Foreign Trade Export: China's polyester yarn industry is one of the world's leading exporters. China's polyester yarn products are exported to all over the world, and exports have increased significantly. China's polyester yarn products are favored by global customers for their stable quality, competitive prices, and diversified product specifications and fiber properties.   Overall, China's polyester yarn industry has significant scale and development in the global market. The improvement of its technical level, the existence of cost advantages and the enhancement of export capabilities have made China an important participant in the global polyester yarn market and occupied an important position in the competitive landscape.
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